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Population Projections

Population projections for Arizona and its sub-geographies on this page are produced by the Arizona Office of Economic Opportunity (OEO). Projected growth rates for the United States are from the 2017 edition of population projections produced by the U.S. Census Bureau.

Projected Total Population

 

Projected total population by year
Projected Population Growth

 

Projected annual population growth rate
Vision
To maintain a sound accurate population growth model consistent with sound demographic projection principles for counties and jurisdictions within Arizona and the state as a whole.
Mission
To provide reliable unbiased projections of future population growth and a single state repository for current population references enabling sound planning and decision making by government and private entities.

Download The Data
2018-2055 State and County Population Projections
Population projections are made for July 1 of each year in the projection period. In addition to the baseline projections (the medium series), a low series and a high series were also produced using alternative assumptions.
SUMMARY TABLES
Projected total population for each year between 2018 and 2055 for the state, counties, the Phoenix Metro Area, the Tucson Metro Area, and Balance of State:
All Areas, 2018-2055
Medium Excel 
Low Excel 
High Excel 
DETAIL TABLES
Projected total population, components of population change, population by sex and age group, population by sex and single year of age for age group 19 and younger, population by race and Hispanic origin:
Arizona
Medium Excel 
Low Excel 
High Excel 
Apache County
Medium Excel 
Low Excel 
High Excel 
Cochise County
Medium Excel 
Low Excel 
High Excel 
Coconino County
Medium Excel 
Low Excel 
High Excel 
Gila County
Medium Excel 
Low Excel 
High Excel 
Graham County
Medium Excel 
Low Excel 
High Excel 
Greenlee County
Medium Excel 
Low Excel 
High Excel 
La Paz County
Medium Excel 
Low Excel 
High Excel 
Maricopa County
Medium Excel 
Low Excel 
High Excel 
Mohave County
Medium Excel 
Low Excel 
High Excel 
Navajo County
Medium Excel 
Low Excel 
High Excel 
Pima County
Medium Excel 
Low Excel 
High Excel 
Pinal County
Medium Excel 
Low Excel 
High Excel 
Santa Cruz County
Medium Excel 
Low Excel 
High Excel 
Yavapai County
Medium Excel 
Low Excel 
High Excel 
Yuma County
Medium Excel 
Low Excel 
High Excel 
ALL TABLES
2010-2055 Projections: All tables and documents in one zip file: ZIP FILE
2019-2055 SUB-COUNTY POPULATION PROJECTIONS
The sub-county projections available in the tables below were produced in accordance with the official 2018 medium series county population projections.
TABLES BY COUNTY
Annual projections are available for all incorporated places and unincorporated balances of county in Arizona for 2019-2055. For most counties, projections are also available for Indian reservations and census designated places with a Census 2010 population of 500 or more. Population projections and methodology statements for Maricopa, Pima, and Pinal counties were produced by their respective regional councils of governments.
Counties
Apache County Excel
Cochise County Excel
Coconino County Excel
Gila County Excel
Graham County Excel
Greenlee County Excel
La Paz County Excel
Maricopa County PDF
Mohave County Excel
Navajo County Excel
Pima County Excel
Pinal County Excel
Santa Cruz County Excel
Yavapai County Excel
Yuma County Excel
All Tables
2010-2055 Projections: All tables and documents in one zip file: ZIP FILE